Colonial Dartboard Picks

Our ongoing little experiment to test the depth of the fields in PGA Tour events continues: how would a randomly selected slate of ten players match up against the ten experts at who attempt to pick the winner each week? Are the Tour players so good that any one of them could win any week?

Here are the results from last week’s The Players Championship. No surprise that Luke Donald and Nick Watney ended up the highest finishers at T4. And a little surprising that Sergio managed to gather it together for a T12. It was interesting that Martin Kaymer fired his caddie with graciousness after his T19. Phil just couldn’t move the needle this week, opening with two 1-unders, a 3-under in the third round, but just even par in the fourth.

Luke Donald (T4)

Nick Watney (T4)

Sergio Garcia (T12)

Martin Kaymer (T19)

Phil Mickelson (T33)

Ben Crane (T45)

Matt Kuchar (T54)

Tiger Woods (WD)

Bill Haas (MC)

Adam Scott (MC)

And here are the Dartboard (Errata) results. Aussie, Jason Day won the lottery with a T6. It was no surprise that World No. 9, Steve Stricker finished T12, but it was a big surprise that so did World No. 272, Chris Stroud. He is a perfect poster boy for the point of the whole Dartboard exercise and, 6-under through 16, it could have been even better had he not bogeyed the last two holes.

Jason Day (T6)

Steve Stricker (T12)

Chris Stroud (T12)

Martin Kaymer (T19)

Charl Swartzel (T26))

Charlie Wi (T41)

Kevin Chappell (T69)

Rickie Fowler (MC)

Troy Matteson (MC)

Vijay Singh (MC)

This week, the Tour rolls in to Fort Worth, Texas, for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at the home of the great Ben Hogan, Colonial Country Club. Even though the course now stretches to 7,204 yards, it’s a shotmaker’s course in that it demands that you hit the drive in the proper side of the fairway to give the yourself the best line through or around the trees to the greens. Bombers need not apply. And so even though the top players aren’t entered, the field is populated with guys who can hit where they’re looking and get it around a golf course. It should be “masterful.”

Here are the picks by the experts with their World Rankings in parentheses. Every one of these guys fits the mold of what it takes to win at Colonial. Those damned experts!

Jim Furyk (16)

Hunter Mahan (18)

Martin Laird (24)

Zach Johnson (36)

Ben Crane (37)

David Toms (46)

Jeff Overton (66)

Sergio Garcia (73)

Stewart Cink (69)

Brian Gay (121)

On the other hand, the Dartboard ignores all logic and ends up with some great long shot picks. Anthony Kim has been hurt and his natural talent has yet to manifest itself again. Ricky Barnes is the perennial next best thing, but for all his talent, it’s yet to happen for him. Sean O’Hair has had a tumultuous couple of weeks ridding himself of his caddie and his coach, Sean Foley, and seemed to play better last week finishing with a T19. Native son, Chad Campbell would dearly love to win this one and his low-ball, running hook just might make that possible. Boo Weekley has slowly been sliding down the world rankings due to injury, but having seen his ball-striking in person, he is perfect for this course. And the Dartboard boldly gave us a great dark horse story too in Nick Taylor. Probably a Monday qualifier or a Sponsor’s exemption, he probably won’t make the cut unless he knows the course…but he’s in the field…and he could:

Jim Furyk (16)

Anthony Kim (55)

Ricky Barnes (75)

Sean O’Hair (76)

J.J. Henry (167)

Chad Campbell (175)

Bill Lunde (235)

Alex Prugh (284)

Boo Weekley (285)

Nick Taylor (N/A)

I’ll let you know next Wednesday.

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